Although the legal digital music market in China is severely hampered by
piracy, ongoing copyright crackdowns will allow the nation to become a major
market for legal music downloading with estimated annual revenues of $222m by
2008.
According to In-Stat,
promising signs in 2005 that the pirates are being made to walk the plank
include the launch of several third-party online music stores.
The market watcher also noted that some unauthorised services, or those
working in a grey area, are legitimising their services.
"The end of 2007 will be the turning point for China's legitimate digital
music market," said In-Stat analyst Anty Zheng.
"Several large online music stores will have opened by then, and the user
base of portable music devices will have surpassed 100 million.
"A major crackdown on music piracy will have been in effect for several
years, 3G mobile communication system access will be rolled out, and consumers
will be adequately educated about legitimate digital music."
In-Stat found that music labels are beginning to file and win copyright
lawsuits in China, in association with the
International Federation of the
Phonographic Industry.
But the analyst warned that, although worldwide conglomerates can successfully
place their selling and pricing structures in other countries, China's extremely
low average selling prices and lack of royalties require a "totally different
business model".
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